Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.02%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.