Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.