The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Genk |
| 44.29% | 24.85% | 30.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
