Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.56%) and 1-3 (5.48%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
