Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Genk had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
