Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
