Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.