Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.