Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
