Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
| 68.85% | 18.26% | 12.89% |
| Both teams to score 51.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.18% | 39.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.82% | 62.18% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% | 10.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.81% | 34.19% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.73% | 42.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.33% | 78.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-0 @ 11.27% 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 4.77% 4-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.14% 5-0 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 4.32% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 8.62% 0-0 @ 4.44% 2-2 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.26% | 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-2 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
| 3 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
| 6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
| 18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 66 | -42 | 14 |
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