Southport 2-1 Chorley - National League North - November 5, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	Chorley
28.34% ( 0.57)	26.9% ( 0.26)	44.75% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

-0.7)

55.97% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93% (

-0.57)

77.06% (

0.57)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

0.07)

35.06% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19% (

0.08)

71.81% (

-0.08)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.72)

24.89% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-1.01)

59.51% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Southport 28.34%

Chorley 44.75%

Draw 26.91%

Southport	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.34%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.75%