Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.