Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Southend United |
| 65.33% ( | 19.34% ( | 15.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( | 39.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( | 61.61% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( | 11.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.13% ( | 35.87% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% | 38.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.79% ( | 75.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 4-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 4.15% Total : 65.32% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 43 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 104 |
| 2 | Notts County | 44 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 111 | 39 | 72 | 103 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 72 | 49 | 23 | 78 |
| 4 | Woking | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Barnet | 43 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 70 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 69 |
| 7 | Bromley | 43 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 66 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 44 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 65 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 63 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 57 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 56 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 55 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 54 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 53 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 52 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 63 | 88 | -25 | 52 |
| 18 | York City | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 49 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 48 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 46 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 47 | 82 | -35 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 44 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 95 | -52 | 25 |
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