MX23RW : Wednesday, June 26 17:35:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Tezuka (8' og.)
Tanaka (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu

Cerezo come into this game as strong favourites to win having enjoyed a much better first half of the season in comparison to their visitors, and just one defeat in the last eight meetings between these two leads us to believe the hosts will secure all three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 26.41% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
48.5% (0.41 0.41) 25.09% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 26.41% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.99% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (0.178 0.18)20.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.275 0.27)53.2% (-0.268 -0.27)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.276 -0.28)33.41% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (-0.308 -0.31)70.04% (0.315 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 48.5%
    Sagan Tosu 26.41%
    Draw 25.08%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.88% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.5%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.41%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Sagan Tosu

Cerezo Osaka
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Sagan Tosu
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Cerezo

Horigome (42')
Bueno (48'), Shibayama (64')
Ceara (80')
Shibayama (86')
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Cerezo
Horigome (64'), Togashi (90+3')
Iwasaki (39'), Horigome (79')
Ceara (13')
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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