MX23RW : Saturday, July 6 23:04:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
3 - 4
Sagan Tosu

Taniguchi (17'), Fitzgerald (61'), Fujiwara (84')
Fitzgerald (34'), Gomes (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Yamazaki (13'), Yokoyama (32', 52'), Naganuma (51')
Naganuma (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 29 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, July 3 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu

 Given the desire to move away from the bottom three, both teams will be eager to collect maximum points. However, there is also value in simply avoiding defeat, and a low-scoring draw playing out would not surprise us. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 26.86% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawSagan Tosu
49.56% (0.963 0.96) 23.58% (-0.339 -0.34) 26.86% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 58.2% (0.633 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (1.075 1.08)43.11% (-1.073 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (1.052 1.05)65.52% (-1.05 -1.05)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (0.783 0.78)17.52% (-0.781 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (1.345 1.35)48.04% (-1.342 -1.34)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (0.10000000000001 0.1)29.44% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (0.12 0.12)65.44% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 49.56%
    Sagan Tosu 26.86%
    Draw 23.57%
Albirex NiigataDrawSagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.105 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 49.56%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.285 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu

Albirex Niigata
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
Sagan Tosu
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 5am
Gameweek 1
Sagan Tosu
1-2
Albirex Niigata
Fukuta (5')
Harada (90+2')
Taniguchi (45+3'), Arai (54')
Arai (31'), Miyamoto (41')
Oct 21, 2023 5am
Gameweek 30
Albirex Niigata
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (45+4' pen.)
Fitzgerald (63')
Ono (45+5')
May 20, 2023 9am
Gameweek 14
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Albirex Niigata
Ono (11'), Kawata (80' pen.)
Fujita (90+1')

Komi (76')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
vs.
France
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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