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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 0
Machida Zelvia


Fernandes (49')
FT

Heroki Mochizuki (20'), Soma (27'), Dresevic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.15am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Reims
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Machida Zelvia

The last three meetings between Cerezo Osaka and Machida have yielded a combined 11 goals, and we expect another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the away side to narrowly edge out their hosts at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
29.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 43.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.36% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)32.54% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)69.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)24.24% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 29.86%
    Machida Zelvia 43.73%
    Draw 26.41%
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.73%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Machida Zelvia

Cerezo Osaka
15.0%
Draw
10.0%
Machida Zelvia
75.0%
20
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 11am
Gameweek 14
Machida Zelvia
2-1
Cerezo
Oh (70'), Duke (90+3')
Hayashi (27'), Sento (80')
Ceara (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers1381422111125
2Kashiwa ReysolReysol136611510524
3Kyoto Sanga147341916324
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136431511422
5Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse136341913621
6Avispa Fukuoka136341312121
7Machida Zelvia136251413120
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki124621911818
9Fagiano OkayamaOkayama13535119218
10Vissel KobeVissel Kobe11533108218
11Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare135351014-418
12Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima125251010017
13Tokyo Verdy13454912-317
14Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka135261420-617
15Cerezo OsakaCerezo133461719-213
16FC Tokyo133461115-413
17Albirex Niigata132651317-412
18Yokohama FCYokohama FC13337813-512
19Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus133281423-911
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama121561117-68


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