Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli3 - 1Como
We said: Napoli 2-1 Como
While there is no doubt that Como are capable of causing Napoli some problems, the hosts have toughened up their defence under new management and will be difficult to break down. As the visitors have conceded the most goals during the final 15 minutes and stoppage time in Serie A so far (five) and Napoli have scored four during that period, it may be a late winner that seals the points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Como |
71.44% ( -0.06) | 17.72% ( 0.03) | 10.84% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
