Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 80.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 0-1 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.