Celta have been a tough nut to crack in recent weeks, so we are finding it difficult to back them to lose this match. Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Cadiz, but they have been largely disappointing at home this term, so we have had to settle on a stalemate here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
