Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.