Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.