La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 1Las Palmas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 1-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 2-1 Las Palmas
Girona have been victorious in four of the last five La Liga matches between the two sides and will enter this contest as the favourites, but we are expecting a close game - it would not be a surprise to see the points shared, but with home advantage, we are backing Girona to secure a narrow victory on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
53.24% ( -0.01) | 22.86% ( 0.06) | 23.9% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
