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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 53.24% (  -0.01) | 22.86% (  0.06) | 23.9% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 57.58% (  -0.26) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.46% (  -0.32) | 42.54% (  0.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.06% (  -0.32) | 64.94% (  0.32) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.03% (  -0.12) | 15.97% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% (  -0.22) | 45.27% (  0.22) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.53% (  -0.21) | 31.47% (  0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% (  -0.25) | 67.86% (  0.25) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Girona | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 2-1 @ 9.78% (  0) 1-0 @ 9.22% (  0.09) 2-0 @ 8.46% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 5.98% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.17% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.74% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.37% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.58% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 10.66% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% (  0.07) 3-3 @ 1.33% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.16% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.81% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 3.36% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% (  -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.9% |