Girona are unbeaten in their last five in Spain's top flight, and they will be the fresher of the two sides, having not been in Copa del Rey action during the week. Espanyol will have taken a lot of confidence from their draw with Barcelona, though, so we are predicting a draw on Saturday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.12) 
-0.02) 
