Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Girona had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.99%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
