Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
