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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Fiorentina logo
Spezia
1 - 2
Fiorentina
N'Zola (35')
Nikolaou (7'), Gyasi (24'), Ekdal (61'), Amian (70'), N'Zola (90+4')
Nikolaou (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milenkovic (14'), Cabral (90')
Ikone (20'), Amrabat (21'), Maleh (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Spezia 2-2 Fiorentina

 Both teams feature in the top three for goals conceded during the opening 15 minutes of Serie A matches, so a fast start could be on the cards. As either side has defensive frailties, a share of the spoils might be the likeliest result - particularly given Spezia's strength on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawFiorentina
24.78% (0.197 0.2) 23.64% (0.0040000000000013 0) 51.58% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.165 0.16)45.14% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.158 0.16)67.49% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.253 0.25)32.15% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.286 0.29)68.63% (-0.288 -0.29)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.52% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.04% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 24.78%
    Fiorentina 51.58%
    Draw 23.64%
SpeziaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.32% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 51.58%

How you voted: Spezia vs Fiorentina

Spezia
31.1%
Draw
24.4%
Fiorentina
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
Agudelo (74')
Reca (78'), Amian (84')
Piatek (42'), Amrabat (89')
Castrovilli (67')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')
Feb 19, 2021 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Fiorentina
Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')
Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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