Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.