

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 40.57% ( | 25.86% ( | 33.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( | 49.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( | 71.9% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( | 28.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.01% ( | 63.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
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