Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Airdrieonians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-3 Arbroath
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alloa Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clyde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
45.82% ( -5.25) | 27.94% ( 0.29) | 26.25% ( 4.96) |
| Both teams to score 44.57% ( 3.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
