Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
