Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
