

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 16.39% | 22.51% | 61.1% |
| Both teams to score 46.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% | 51.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.69% | 80.31% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% | 16.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.2% | 45.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.87% 2-1 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.39% 3-1 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.39% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 13.06% 0-2 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 5.86% 0-4 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.09% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Osasuna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Real BetisBetis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Valencia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CadizCadiz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Barcelona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
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