La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona4 - 3Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Girona
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in La Liga
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 2-1 Atletico Madrid
Atleti have shown inconsistency in their recent league games, and if they are unable to produce their best form against Girona, they could experience a difficult evening. With that in mind, we think that a free-scoring Girona side will continue their remarkable season by condemning the visitors to a fourth consecutive away defeat in La Liga. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
44.8% ( 0.08) | 24.84% ( 0.44) | 30.35% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
