Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Orihuela had a probability of 7.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.82%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Orihuela win it was 1-0 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.