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Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 9, 2025 at 5.35pm UK
Villa Park
Spurs logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Spurs

Ramsey (2'), Rogers (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tel (90+1')
Bentancur (60'), Bergvall (62'), Porro (80')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa survive a late scare to march into the fifth round of the FA Cup, eliminating Tottenham Hotspur with a 2-1 victory at Villa Park on Sunday evening.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Tottenham Hotspur.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Tottenham Hotspur's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Spurs
Thursday, February 6 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawTottenham Hotspur
56% (0.22799999999999 0.23) 20.36% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 23.64% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 66.42% (-0.642 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.17% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)30.82% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.82% (-0.804 -0.8)52.18% (0.805 0.81)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.152 -0.15)11.17% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)35.66% (0.342 0.34)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.593 -0.59)25.22% (0.594 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.824 -0.82)59.96% (0.825 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 56%
    Tottenham Hotspur 23.64%
    Draw 20.36%
Aston VillaDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.168 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.192 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.36%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.64%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Spurs

Aston Villa
63.3%
Draw
11.1%
Tottenham Hotspur
25.6%
180
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 10
Spurs
4-1
Aston Villa
Johnson (49'), Solanke (75', 79'), Maddison (90+6')
Porro (54'), Romero (58')
Rogers (32')
Mar 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
0-4
Spurs

McGinn (65')
Maddison (50'), Johnson (53'), Heung-min (90+1'), Werner (90+4')
Sarr (19'), Dragusin (61')
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Spurs
1-2
Aston Villa
Lo Celso (22')
Torres (45+7'), Watkins (61')
Cash (27'), Kamara (38'), McGinn (41'), Watkins (82')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Aston Villa
2-1
Spurs
Ramsey (8'), Luiz (72')
McGinn (23'), Young (89'), Watkins (90+1'), Watkins (90+2')
Kane (90' pen.)
Skipp (53'), Kane (73'), Romero (80')
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Spurs
0-2
Aston Villa
Buendia (50'), Luiz (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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