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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Brighton

Mateta (3'), Munoz (55')
Guehi (57'), Nketiah (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Welbeck (31')
Paul van Hecke (25'), March (80')
Paul van Hecke (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace complete their first-ever Premier League double over Brighton & Hove Albion with a 2-1 win in a chaotic contest where three players are sent off.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Crystal Palace could line up in the M23 derby against Brighton & Hove Albion at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 35.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
40.28% (1.901 1.9)24.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)35.61% (-1.945 -1.95)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.47% (-0.391 -0.39)41.53% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.07% (-0.396 -0.4)63.93% (0.396 0.4)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (0.742 0.74)20.78% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (1.154 1.15)53.43% (-1.157 -1.16)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-1.189 -1.19)23.12% (1.189 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-1.771 -1.77)56.98% (1.77 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 40.28%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.61%
    Draw 24.1%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.236 0.24)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.298 0.3)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.255 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.125 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
52.2%
Draw
34.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion
13.2%
159
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-3
Crystal Palace
Guehi (87' og.)
Dunk (45+1')
Chalobah (27'), Sarr (33', 82')
Guehi (45+4'), Munoz (51'), Henderson (69'), Sarr (79')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Brighton
4-1
Crystal Palace
Dunk (3'), Hinshelwood (33'), Buonanotte (34'), Pedro (85')
De Zerbi (7'), Welbeck (90+2')
Mateta (71')
Guehi (16'), Franca (59'), Munoz (62')
Dec 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm