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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
| 30.79% | 23.76% | 45.45% |
| Both teams to score 60.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.55% | 41.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.15% | 63.85% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.11% | 60.88% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% | 18.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.52% Total : 45.45% |
