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Jul 14, 2022 at 2am UK at Pizza Hut Park
Major League Soccer |
Dallas
0 - 1
NY City

Ntsabeleng (50'), Jara (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heber (29')
Chanot (8'), Johnson (90+4')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, July 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-2 New York City FC

Off the back of a comfortable victory over the Revs, New York City FC will head into the game with renewed confidence as they look to go top of the log in the East. While we expect a cagey contest against a Dallas side who have proven tough to crack in this fixture, we are backing the Pigeons to claim all three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawNew York City FC
39.78% (0.176 0.18) 24.84% (0.133 0.13) 35.37% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.16% (-0.52 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-0.658 -0.66)45.07% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.634 -0.63)67.42% (0.634 0.63)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.199 -0.2)22.56% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.297 -0.3)56.15% (0.295 0.3)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.48 -0.48)24.9% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.67 -0.67)59.51% (0.669 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 39.78%
    New York City FC 35.37%
    Draw 24.84%
DallasDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.185 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.37%

How you voted: Dallas vs NY City

Dallas
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
New York City FC
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
NY City
3-3
Dallas
Moralez (20'), Medina (57'), Magno (68')
Andrade (90+2')
Obrian (4', 73'), Ferreira (63')
Mar 14, 2020 4.30pm
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Dallas
1-1
NY City
Ondrasek (66')
Ondrasek (45'), Acosta (61')
Castellanos (1')
Parks (13'), Moralez (68'), Chanot (94')
Apr 29, 2018 11.30pm
NY City
3-1
Dallas
Medina (3'), Villa (36' pen., 69')
Herrera (49'), Johnson (58'), Villa (69')
Mosquera (10')
Lamah (8'), Diaz (76')
May 15, 2017 1am
Dallas
1-1
NY City
Acosta (20')
Gruezo (68')
McNamara (68')
McNamara (34'), Ring (51'), Sweat (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England9621158720
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96211210220
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta95311813518
4New York City FCNY City94321210215
5Columbus Crew94231810814
6Nashville SCNashville933385312
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
8DC United93241113-211
9Orlando City8323810-211
10Chicago Fire82421212010
11Toronto91621213-19
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC92341016-69
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls915369-38
14Inter MiamiInter Miami820669-36
15CF MontrealMontreal8206517-126

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City961221101119
2Seattle SoundersSeattle96121771019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas94231211114
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes94231111014
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd832388011
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8242117410
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake83051017-79
10Portland TimbersPortland92251115-48
11Colorado RapidsColorado9153611-58
12Austin FCAustin8224612-68
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8134712-56
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas9036313-103

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