MX23RW : Wednesday, October 26 19:25:21| >> :60:2782:2782:
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Barcelona

Barcelona have far more riding on this game than Bayern do, but it is difficult to see a Blaugrana team low on confidence and numbers springing any surprises at the Allianz Arena. Some expected changes in the home defence will aid Barca's prospects of making the net ripple, but Nagelsmann's side could very well condemn the Catalans to the unfamiliar territory of Europa League football this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBarcelona
54.06%21.8%24.14%
Both teams to score 61.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.69%37.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.47%59.53%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12%13.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71%41.29%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82%64.19%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 54.06%
    Barcelona 24.14%
    Draw 21.8%
Bayern MunichDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 4.01%
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 54.06%
1-1 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 24.14%

How you voted: Bayern vs Barcelona

Bayern Munich
74.6%
Draw
7.6%
Barcelona
17.7%
536
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Group E
Barcelona
0-3
Bayern

Gavi (82')
Muller (34'), Lewandowski (56', 85')
Kimmich (5'), Upamecano (78')
Aug 14, 2020 8pm
Barcelona
2-8
Bayern
Alaba (7' og.), Suarez (57')
Suarez (54'), Alba (60'), Vidal (90+2')
Muller (4', 31'), Perisic (22'), Gnabry (28'), Kimmich (63'), Lewandowski (82'), Coutinho (85', 89')
Boateng (43'), Davies (52'), Kimmich (85')
Jul 24, 2013 5.30pm
Build-up
Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021
Ansu Fati 'could return for Barcelona against Bayern Munich'
Ansu Fati could make his return from a hamstring injury in Barcelona's Champions League contest with Bayern Munich, according to a report.
Nov 27, 10:23
Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021
Barcelona's Ansu Fati 'losing battle to be fit for Bayern Munich clash'
Ansu Fati is a major doubt for Barcelona's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich next week, according to a report.
Dec 2, 10:43
Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021
Joan Laporta addresses Ansu Fati fitness ahead of Bayern Munich clash
Barcelona president Joan Laporta admits that it will be "complicated" for Ansu Fati to face Bayern Munich next week.
Dec 4, 12:54
Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021
Barcelona team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Bayern Munich
Sports Mole rounds up all of Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Dec 5, 08:35
Spain midfielder Gavi pictured in November 2021
Gavi 'to be available for Barcelona's clash with Bayern Munich'
Barcelona midfielder Gavi will be available for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich, according to a report.
Dec 5, 15:12
Spain midfielder Gavi pictured in November 2021
How Barcelona could line up against Bayern Munich
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Dec 6, 14:08
Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021
Barcelona winger Ansu Fati ruled out of Bayern Munich clash
Barcelona winger Ansu Fati is ruled out of Wednesday's Champions League fixture against Bayern Munich with a hamstring injury.
Dec 6, 23:20
Bayern Munich's Robert Lewandowski pictured on September 29, 2021
Robert Lewandowski eyeing Champions League goalscoring record against Barcelona
Robert Lewandowski is aiming to make history by scoring 10 Champions League group-stage goals for the second time when Bayern Munich face Barcelona on Wednesday.
Dec 7, 12:32
Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in October 2021
Xavi names Barcelona squad for Bayern Munich clash
Ansu Fati is not included in the Barcelona squad for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Dec 7, 18:24
Barcelona's Memphis Depay on September 14, 2021
Memphis Depay: 'Bayern Munich clash is a final for Barcelona'
Memphis Depay says that Wednesday's Champions League match against Bayern Munich is "like a final" for Barcelona.
Dec 7, 18:33
Joan Laporta pictured before the Barcelona presidential election on March 7, 2021
Barcelona president Joan Laporta "very confident" ahead of Bayern Munich clash
Barcelona president Joan Laporta is "very confident" that the Catalan giants "will show pride and dignity" against Bayern Munich.
Dec 8, 18:42
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1Arsenal1191125111428
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4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1256120101021
5Chelsea116321611521
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