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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
St. James' Park
Chelsea logo

Newcastle
vs.
Chelsea

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Ipswich
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. Newcastle
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Everton
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Djurgarden vs. Chelsea
Thursday, May 1 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 31.57% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
45.31% (3.372 3.37) 23.12% (0.127 0.13) 31.57% (-3.501 -3.5)
Both teams to score 63.15% (-1.827 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.98% (-1.853 -1.85)38.02% (1.85 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71% (-2.001 -2)60.28% (1.999 2)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (0.61 0.61)17.19% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53% (1.064 1.06)47.46% (-1.065 -1.07)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-2.791 -2.79)23.74% (2.789 2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (-4.182 -4.18)57.88% (4.18 4.18)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.31%
    Chelsea 31.57%
    Draw 23.12%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.415 0.41)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.749 0.75)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.772 0.77)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.518 0.52)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.195 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.256 0.26)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.352 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.433 -0.43)
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.535 -0.54)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.399 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.351 -0.35)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Newcastle
2-0
Chelsea
Isak (23'), Disasi (26' og.)
Schar (16'), Longstaff (19'), Gordon (52'), Pope (55')

Badiashile (29'), Felix (85')
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Jackson (18'), Palmer (47')
Fofana (11'), Lavia (54'), Madueke (66'), Sanchez (84'), Neto (88'), Nkunku (90+4'), Maresca (90+4')
Isak (32')
Schar (22'), Tonali (64'), Longstaff (90')
Mar 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Jackson (6'), Palmer (57'), Mudryk (76')
Sterling (39'), Petrovic (71'), Caicedo (72')
Isak (43'), Murphy (90')
White (90+6')
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
(Aggregate 1-1 | Chelsea win 4-2 on penalties)
Mudryk (90+2')
Caicedo (2'), Sterling (71'), Gallagher (90+4'), Mudryk (90+6')
Wilson (16')
Wilson (87'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
Isak (13'), Lascelles (60'), Joelinton (61'), Gordon (83')
Trippier (22'), Joelinton (45+3'), Lascelles (46'), Ritchie (90+2')
Sterling (23')
Ugochukwu (41'), James (55'), Sterling (59'), Cucurella (77'), Colwill (81')
James (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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