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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
St. James' Park
Chelsea logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Chelsea

Tonali (2'), Guimaraes (90')
Schar (53'), Murphy (64'), Guimaraes (84'), Krafth (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (45+5'), Colwill (90+3')
Jackson (35')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United claim a crucial three points with a 2-0 win over Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday, boosting their Champions League ambitions.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League fixture against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, May 8 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
39.22% (0.901 0.9)23.18% (0.309 0.31)37.59% (-1.214 -1.21)
Both teams to score 64.62% (-1.251 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-1.608 -1.61)36.78% (1.606 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.05% (-1.769 -1.77)58.95% (1.766 1.77)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)19.23% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (-0.476 -0.48)50.94% (0.474 0.47)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-1.259 -1.26)19.98% (1.258 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-2.067 -2.07)52.16% (2.065 2.07)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 39.22%
    Chelsea 37.59%
    Draw 23.18%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.186 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.433 0.43)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.313 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.148 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.296 0.3)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 37.59%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Chelsea

Newcastle United
58.9%
Draw
11.9%
Chelsea
29.2%
202
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Newcastle
2-0
Chelsea
Isak (23'), Disasi (26' og.)
Schar (16'), Longstaff (19'), Gordon (52'), Pope (55')

Badiashile (29'), Felix (85')
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Jackson (18'), Palmer (47')
Fofana (11'), Lavia (54'), Madueke (66'), Sanchez (84'), Neto (88'), Nkunku (90+4'), Maresca (90+4')
Isak (32')
Schar (22'), Tonali (64'), Longstaff (90')
Mar 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Jackson (6'), Palmer (57'), Mudryk (76')
Sterling (39'), Petrovic (71'), Caicedo (72')
Isak (43'), Murphy (90')
White (90+6')
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
(Aggregate 1-1 | Chelsea win 4-2 on penalties)
Mudryk (90+2')
Caicedo (2'), Sterling (71'), Gallagher (90+4'), Mudryk (90+6')
Wilson (16')
Wilson (87'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
Isak (13'), Lascelles (60'), Joelinton (61'), Gordon (83')
Trippier (22'), Joelinton (45+3'), Lascelles (46'), Ritchie (90+2')
Sterling (23')
Ugochukwu (41'), James (55'), Sterling (59'), Cucurella (77'), Colwill (81')
James (73')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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