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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brighton
vs.
Newcastle

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Ipswich
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 33.03% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.6%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
44.52% (-1.909 -1.91) 22.45% (0.117 0.12) 33.03% (1.797 1.8)
Both teams to score 66.37% (0.45 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (0.235 0.23)34.09% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.04% (0.265 0.27)55.96% (-0.26 -0.26)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.60499999999999 -0.6)15.95% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.77% (-1.121 -1.12)45.23% (1.124 1.12)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (1.099 1.1)21.04% (-1.096 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (1.682 1.68)53.84% (-1.679 -1.68)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.52%
    Newcastle United 33.03%
    Draw 22.45%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.268 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.87% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.245 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.215 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.249 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.57% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.177 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.143 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 33.03%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton and Newcastle?

Brighton & Hove Albion
Draw
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 1.45pm
Fifth Round
Newcastle
1-2
Brighton
Isak (22' pen.)
Joelinton (36')
Gordon (83')
Minteh (44'), Welbeck (114')
Lamptey (29'), Webster (35'), Balepa (45+2'), Gomez (92')
Lamptey (90+1')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newcastle
0-1
Brighton

Burn (10'), Hall (37')
Welbeck (35')
Ayari (45'), Hinshelwood (71')
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Newcastle
1-1
Brighton
Longstaff (45+5')
Hall (79'), Barnes (88'), Almiron (90+3')
Veltman (18')
Gilmour (45+4'), Enciso (54'), Welbeck (77'), Baker-Boatiey (90+5')
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
Ferguson (27', 65', 70')
Lamptey (83'), Milner (86'), Dahoud (90+5'), Lallana (90+8')
Wilson (90+2')
Gordon (23'), Schar (43'), Targett (68'), Burn (76')
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Brighton
1-2
Newcastle
Anderson (86', 90')
Guimaraes (30'), Pope (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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