We said: SC Farense 0-1 Famalicao
Farense have hosted Famalicao four times across the Primeira and Segunda Liga, with three of those meetings ending in stalemates and the other a home win.
That said, while Fama's recent away displays have been unconvincing, this may still shape up to be a narrowly contested victory for the visitors given the hosts' struggles at Sao Luis.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.