Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes1 - 2Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Farense 2-1 Famalicao
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 SC Farense
Farense may have found resilience on the road, but they are up against a Vitoria side that have been ruthless at home and carry real momentum into this one. With the visitors struggling in front of goal and ranking as the joint-lowest scorers in the division, the hosts' defensive solidity could once again prove the difference in a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
68.07% ( 0.4) | 19.22% ( -0.19) | 12.71% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
