Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.07% (![]() | 24.83% (![]() | 46.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% (![]() | 47.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% (![]() | 69.44% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% (![]() | 29.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% (![]() | 66.04% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% (![]() | 20.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% (![]() | 53.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.42% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 9.73% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |