

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense has a probability of 34.42% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win is 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Arouca |
| 34.42% ( | 26.48% ( | 39.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( | 52.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% ( | 74.05% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% ( | 64.83% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( | 26.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.71% ( | 61.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Vizela | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 |
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
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