

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense has a probability of 34.42% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win is 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Arouca | 
| 34.42% (  1.25) | 26.48% (  0.33) | 39.1% (  -1.59) | 
| Both teams to score 52.44% (  -0.8) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.63% (  -1.15) | 52.36% (  1.14) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.95% (  -1) | 74.05% (  0.99) | 
| SC Farense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.05% (  0.23) | 28.94% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% (  0.29) | 64.83% (  -0.29) | 
| Arouca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.8% (  -1.38) | 26.2% (  1.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.71% (  -1.87) | 61.29% (  1.87) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| SC Farense | Draw | Arouca | 
| 1-0 @ 9.4% (  0.48) 2-1 @ 7.81% (  0.15) 2-0 @ 5.83% (  0.33) 3-1 @ 3.23% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 2.41% (  0.15) 3-2 @ 2.16% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% (  0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.59% (  0.16) 0-0 @ 7.58% (  0.34) 2-2 @ 5.23% (  -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 10.15% (  0.06) 1-2 @ 8.43% (  -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.8% (  -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.77% (  -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.04% (  -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.33% (  -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.26% (  -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.02% (  -0.12) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.09% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 
| 4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 20 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 
| 10 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 | 
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 
| 13 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | 
| 14 | Vizela | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | 
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | 
| 16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 | 
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 | 
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
