MX23RW : Monday, May 19 07:28:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FC Twente logo

Ajax
2 - 1
FC Twente

Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 FC Twente

When Ajax have played Twente at home in the past, a home win has generally been regarded as a foregone conclusion. However, times have recently changed, and we expect the visitors to outclass and outfight their hosts for another victory in a strong campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
46.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 22.56% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 31.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.66% (-0.126 -0.13)35.34% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.63% (-0.142 -0.14)57.37% (0.143 0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)15.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.107 -0.11)45.1% (0.109 0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)22.54% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 46.04%
    FC Twente 31.4%
    Draw 22.56%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!