Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
2 - 1
FC Twente

(Red Bull Salzburg win 5-4 on aggregate)

Kjaergaard (41', 85')
Gourna-Douath (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlap (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League qualifier between Red Bull Salzburg and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Last Game: Grazer 2-3 Salzburg
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 0-0 FC Twente
Wednesday, July 24 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	FC Twente
47.77% ( 0.01)	22.16%	30.08% ( -0.02)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.08%