Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Nice

Auxerre
2 - 1
Nice

Raveloson (43'), Coulibaly (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cho (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ipswich 1-0 Nice
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawNice
51.71% (-0.527 -0.53)24.05% (0.142 0.14)24.24% (0.387 0.39)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.235 -0.23)47.4% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-0.218 -0.22)69.62% (0.221 0.22)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.291 -0.29)18.33% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.58% (-0.496 -0.5)49.42% (0.499 0.5)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.208 0.21)33.83% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.225 0.22)70.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 51.7%
    Nice 24.25%
    Draw 24.05%
AuxerreDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre
31.6%
Draw
21.1%
Nice
47.4%
76
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 64
Nice
0-0
Auxerre
(Aggregate 0-0 | Nice win 4-2 on penalties)
Rosario (88')
Jubal (17')
Mar 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Nice
1-1
Auxerre
Laborde (45+1')
Hein (36')
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Auxerre
1-1
Nice
Da Costa (42')
Delort (20')
Oct 31, 2018 5.45pm
Third Round
Nice
3-2
Auxerre
Maolida (17'), Walter (41', 80' pen.)
Dugimont (57'), Philippoteaux (82')
Ba (22'), Adeoti (90')
Marcelin (87')
Apr 21, 2012 4pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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