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AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
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Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
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Reims
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Rennes
Saint-Etienne
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Nice

Auxerre
2 - 1
Nice

Raveloson (43'), Coulibaly (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cho (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ipswich 1-0 Nice
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawNice
51.71% (-0.527 -0.53)24.05% (0.142 0.14)24.24% (0.387 0.39)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.235 -0.23)47.4% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-0.218 -0.22)69.62% (0.221 0.22)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.291 -0.29)18.33% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.58% (-0.496 -0.5)49.42% (0.499 0.5)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.208 0.21)33.83% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.225 0.22)70.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 51.7%
    Nice 24.25%
    Draw 24.05%
AuxerreDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre
31.6%
Draw
21.1%
Nice
47.4%
76
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 64
Nice
0-0
Auxerre
(Aggregate 0-0 | Nice win 4-2 on penalties)
Rosario (88')
Jubal (17')
Mar 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Nice
1-1
Auxerre
Laborde (45+1')
Hein (36')
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Auxerre
1-1
Nice
Da Costa (42')
Delort (20')
Oct 31, 2018 5.45pm
Third Round
Nice
3-2
Auxerre
Maolida (17'), Walter (41', 80' pen.)
Dugimont (57'), Philippoteaux (82')
Ba (22'), Adeoti (90')
Marcelin (87')
Apr 21, 2012 4pm