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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lens logo

Lyon
1 - 2
Lens

Mikautadze (79')
Niakhate (13'), Fofana (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koyalipou (21'), Zaroury (85')
Mendy (54'), Machado (64'), Medina (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Rennes
Saturday, April 26 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Lens had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawLens
51.29% (0.48 0.48)22.19% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)26.52% (-0.469 -0.47)
Both teams to score 62.81% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (-0.342 -0.34)36.89% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (-0.371 -0.37)59.07% (0.369 0.37)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (0.037000000000006 0.04)14.62% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (0.070999999999998 0.07)42.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.506 -0.51)26.43% (0.505 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.679 -0.68)61.6% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 51.29%
    Lens 26.52%
    Draw 22.19%
LyonDrawLens
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lens

Lyon
90.6%
Draw
9.4%
Lens
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
0-0
Lyon
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lyon
0-3
Lens

Maitland-Niles (84')
Sotoca (43'), Wahi (53' pen.), Danso (87')
Gradit (29'), Danso (83')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Lens
3-2
Lyon
Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
O'Brien (15', 72')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
> Preview