Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.56%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Vilar de Perdizes had a probability of 3.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.47%) and 0-4 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Vilar de Perdizes win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.